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Magician's tactical testing (new ME)

as always questioning something ;)
Started on 17 February 2026 by luk4sh31
Latest Reply on 17 February 2026 by luk4sh31
  • POSTS6
  • VIEWS184
 
luk4sh31's avatar Group luk4sh31
3 hoursEdited
Due to the never-ending discussion about some tactics published here — which results in most cases cannot be replicated — I have decided to shed more light on the subject.

I conducted three different tests, using Manchester City, as this was the original testing team. We can reasonably assume that a stronger team with high-quality players should produce more consistent results.

The tests were as follows:
1. I holiday-tested one of the tactics from FM Arena twice.
2. I played the same match five times (the closest environment I could achieve).
3. I used Instant Result five times for the same match.

Today’s tests show some similarity in the overall outcome. However, the detailed results — including cup wins, goals scored, and other statistics — appear to be random.

I will not make any further comments. I will simply present the test results and allow people to draw their own conclusions.

All of the tests were recorded in a continuous, non-stop video. I am happy to share the full recording if anyone feels it is necessary, particularly if someone accuses me of interfering with the testing process.

For now, I will post only the match video test and the Instant Result test.
Holiday tested tactic downloaded from FM Arena:
SPEAR v1, which is tested on the current match engine.
1. The first test is the test carried out by the creator.
2. I have run two additional tests.

link (long) https://fmshots.com/image/w6RYEU
link (long) https://fmshots.com/image/w6RUCI
link (long) https://fmshots.com/image/w6RQ2D















I saved the game in late April, when the team was mostly familiar with the tactic, in order to carry out tactical match testing during.

IDEA – The same setup (team and tactic against the same opponent), with no changes (no substitutions or tactical tweaks implemented).
The test was carried out five times.











video test


Match test using Instant Result.
The same principle as above.











video test

The match result iscaculated before kick off and therefore if that match could be played with all methods the result should be the same.

However, as you cannot do that then you are subject to a new dice roll and calculations will be totally different.

The only way to elimate RNG is for tests over many games.
two more test carried out and I'm positively surprise how consistent the current ME results are. By results I mean the league position not stats and matches results.







luk4sh31's avatar Group luk4sh31
2 hoursEdited
@Knap

I’m not trying to simulate hundreds of games. My goal is simply to explain to new players that they shouldn’t expect to achieve the exact same results as someone else.

Even when the tactics or concepts look very similar, outcomes can still vary significantly. Expecting identical results can lead to frustration and misunderstandings. [in that statement I was rather referring to the older version of ME as the previous results were much more inconsistent in my opinion].

To follow up the new ME seems more constant so In theory the publish tactics results should give similar results with similar teams.
One reason for testing with top sides is to try and reduce RNG as much as possible.
Yes I am aware of that. thanks

I have tested my actual Dover tactic with Man City and I won the league on the balanced mentality. Lost to Barca in the CL Final on penalties.





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